中尺度涡业务化检验方法探讨-海洋预报

中尺度涡业务化检验方法探讨

单位：国家海洋环境预报中心, 北京 100081

分类号：P731.2

出版年·卷·期（页码）：2019·36·第二期（1-8）

摘要：

结合业务化海洋预报的实际需求，探讨了一种新的中尺度涡检验方法——匹配检验方法，并以此为基础提出了中尺度涡的检验评分方案。业务化预报检验，是开展中尺度涡业务化预报必要组成部分，本文提出的技巧评分方案，能够更客观地表述模式模拟或预报的中尺度涡的准确预报、空报和漏报，更好地掌握预报的质量和表现，为中尺度涡业务化预报提供更符合业务化实际的检验方案和方法指导。

Aiming for the need of operational ocean forecasting, a new mesoscale eddy verification method named matching verification is discussed, based on which a scoring scheme for mesoscale eddy verification is proposed in this paper. Verification is an essential component of the mesoscale eddy operational forecasting. The proposed scoring scheme subjectively describes the accuracy in modeling or forecasting mesoscale eddies, which is helpful in monitoring the quality and performance of the forecast. The scheme provides a verification approach and method guidance for the operational forecasting of mesoscale eddies in practice.

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