WRF模式中不同物理参数化方案组合在中国近海风能资源评估中的适用性研究-海洋预报

WRF模式中不同物理参数化方案组合在中国近海风能资源评估中的适用性研究

单位：中国长江三峡集团有限公司科学技术研究院, 北京 100038

分类号：P743

出版年·卷·期（页码）：2023·40·第一期（65-78）

摘要：

基于中尺度气象数值模式 WRF（Weather Research and Forecasting），分别对我国广东、浙江、山东这3个近海典型风能资源储备区域进行了45组物理参数化方案组合连续1 M的敏感性试验，对试验中多要素的模拟结果进行综合评估，分别确定了适用于3个风能资源储备区各自排名前3的物理参数化方案组合，并对其模拟性能较优的原因进行分析。为了测试3个风能资源储备区筛选得到的物理参数化方案组合的适用性，利用不同于敏感性试验时段的模拟结果，结合海上测风塔和海洋气象站的实测数据开展进一步评估。结果表明，优选得到的物理参数化方案组合具有较好的适用性，其对近海的风速模拟性能较优，具有实际业务应用价值。

Based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) mesoscale numerical model, 45 groups of physical parameterization scheme combinations are used to conduct sensitive experiments lasting 1 month for the offshore areas of Guangdong, Zhejiang and Shandong provinces, which are the three typical wind energy resource reserve areas in China, and the simulation results of multiple elements in the experiments are comprehensively evaluated in order to determine 3 physical parameterization scheme combinations that are suitable for each of the 3 wind energy resource reserve areas. Moreover, the reason for their better simulation performance is analyzed. In order to test the applicability of the combination of physical parameterization schemes selected for the three wind energy resource reserve areas, the simulation results different from the sensitivity experiment period are used to conduct further evaluation by using the measured data from offshore wind towers and marine meteorological stations. The results show that the selected combination of physical parameterization schemes has good applicability and their performance for offshore wind speed simulation is better, which has the value of practical business application.

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