惠州大亚湾海域风暴潮期间溢油情景模拟研究-海洋预报

惠州大亚湾海域风暴潮期间溢油情景模拟研究

单位：国家海洋局南海规划与环境研究院, 广东广州 510300

分类号：X55；P731.23

出版年·卷·期（页码）：2023·40·第五期（81-89）

摘要：

通过MIKE21数值模式，建立了惠州大亚湾附近海域高分辨率的风暴潮和溢油数学模型，并对模型进行了风速、潮位和流速的验证；通过引入M₄、MS₄、M₆和2MS₆浅水分潮，提高了模型的水动力验证精度。运用模型模拟分析了1604号台风“妮妲”和1713号台风“天鸽”两场典型风暴潮期间，大亚湾海域发生溢油情景事故对敏感目标的影响，最后给出溢油风险防控建议。

In this paper, the MIKE21 numerical model is used to establish a high-resolution mathematical model of storm surge and oil spill in the sea area near Daya Bay in Huizhou, and the model is verified against wind speed, tidal level and flow velocity. The hydrodynamic verification accuracy of the model is improved by introducing shallow water tidal components M₄, MS₄, M₆ and 2MS₆. On this basis, the model is used to simulate and analyze the impact of oil spill scenario accidents on sensitive targets in Daya Bay during the two typical typhoon storm surges of 1604 Typhoon "Nida" and 1713 Typhoon "Hato". Finally, the countermeasures and suggestions for the prevention and control of oil spill risk are given.

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